BEVERLY HILLS, Calif. – The Golden Globes are good at predicting likely best-picture nominees for the Academy Awards. Not so much at predicting the eventual big Oscar winner, though.
Globe voters, who release their nominations Thursday, used to have a solid track record as a forecast for the Oscar best-picture prize. But they’ve been swinging and missing recently, with only one top Globe recipient going on to claim the main trophy come Oscar night during the last seven years.
Yet the Globes might have better luck this time. The show has two best-picture categories, one for drama, the other for musicals or comedies. The latter category usually doesn’t offer serious best-picture contenders at the Oscars, which tend toward heavier drama.
But this season, the spry, black-and-white silent film “The Artist” stands as a solid comedy to challenge the dramas at the Oscars. If “The Artist” wins the Globe musical or comedy prize, it could end up in an Oscar showdown with the Globe drama winner, whose contenders might include the Deep South tale “The Help,” George Clooney’s family story “The Descendants,” Steven Spielberg’s World War I epic “War Horse” and Martin Scorsese’s Paris adventure “Hugo.”
Last season, the Facebook tale “The Social Network” emerged
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