We have known for some time that the out-of-control space station Tiangong-1 is going to crash to Earth pretty soon. But the date and location of said crash has been something of a moving target as the weeks roll by. Now, researchers are zeroing in on where it will likely land and becoming more certain about the timing, too.

Researchers have known for months that the station was going to hit Earth at some point, as Newsweek reported, in January or February of 2018. At least that was the prediction in September. China announced that it had lost control of the station a year before that, in September 2016, and the spacecraft was expected to land in a matter of months.

This week, however, the European Space Agency (ESA)

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