More than 1,000 days since the referendum, and with the clock ticking down to 29 March, the path of Brexit remains unclear.

Ahead of the 2016 vote, the Treasury warned that leaving could damage the economy.

And yet, for all the political turmoil and uncertainty, the economy continues to trundle along – and appears to be doing very well on some fronts.

Almost 30 years ago, US economist David Shulman introduced the phrase “Goldilocks economy” to describe one that’s neither blowing too hot nor cold but expanding at just the right pace, with good jobs growth.

Does that apply to the UK?

And were those warnings from the Treasury merely “Project Fear”: fairy tales in themselves?

Time to check the temperature of the UK economy.


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