Speaking in greater detail than he previously has, Gov. Charlie Baker said Thursday that the state’s coronavirus model anticipates the greatest surge in patients between April 10 and April 20, and that as many as 172,000 residents could become infected during the pandemic.

Baker said that the state’s model shows “somewhere between 47,000 and 172,000 cases during the course of the pandemic,” which he said would be equivalent to between 0.7 and 2.5 percent of the total population of the state. So far, the state has reported 7,738 confirmed COVID-19 cases.

The governor also said that the model — built with the help of public health experts, academics and others — indicates that “we need to expand ICU capacity by about 500 beds in the

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