Executive Summary

During the Covid-19 crisis it makes intuitive sense that if a hospital runs out of ICU beds, more patients will die. But simply increasing the number of available ICU beds in local hotspots — a common response to rising caseloads — may paradoxically result in increased mortality. The better response is to relocate patients early out of emerging hotspots in order to keep ICU loads well below the maximum capacity.

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The stark national differences in the death rates of Covid-19 patients is much discussed and politicized. Germany and Italy, for example, have similar

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