By Alan S. Blinder Oct. 21, 2020 12:47 pm ET

President Trump walks to Air Force One as he departs Joint Base Andrews in Maryland, Oct. 20. Photo: saul loeb/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

As everyone except Donald Trump knows, the president is trailing his challenger, Joe Biden, in national polls and in most battleground states. Polling on the issues shows Mr. Trump losing on nearly every issue except handling the economy, where the two men are essentially in a dead heat.

If Mr. Trump has any chance of prevailing, it is because

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