Oil futures fell sharply on Thursday, extending a decline seen after a counter-seasonal rise in U.S. gasoline inventories reflecting falling demand. Also on Thursday, prices for natural-gas futures gave up early losses to turn higher after U.S. government data revealed a smaller-than-expected weekly rise in domestic supplies of the fuel. Meanwhile, Russia resumed natural-gas flows to Western Europe.
Price action
West Texas Intermediate crude for September delivery
CL.1,
-2.75%
CL00,
-2.75%
CLU22,
-2.75%
fell $4.08, or 4.1%, to $95.80 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
September Brent crude
BRN00,
-2.07%
BRNU22,
-2.07%,
the global benchmark, dropped $3.49, or 3.3%, to $103.43 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe.
Back on Nymex, August gasoline
RBQ22,
-4.16%
dropped 4.9% to $3.114 a gallon, while August heating oil
HOQ22,
-2.82%
dropped 3.5% to $3.479 a gallon.
August natural gas
NGQ22,
+0.39%
edged up by 1.4% to $8.115 per million British thermal units, extending a more than 10% rise from Wednesday. Prices looked to hold ground at the highest front-month contract settlement since June 13, FactSet data show.
Market drivers Crude and product futures were adding to declines that followed data from the Energy Information Administration showing U.S. gasoline inventories unexpectedly rose 3.5 million barrels last week versus forecasts for a rise of 400,000 barrels. Moreover, the rise came despite a cut in refinery runs to 93.7% last week from 94.9% a week earlier. That’s seen as a particularly negative development in the middle of what’s known as summer driving season in the U.S., which runs from the Memorial Day holiday in late May to the Labor Day holiday in early September. “Additionally, gasoline supplied, a measure of implied demand, only bounced by 459,000 b/d (barrels a day) to 8.52 million b/d last week after the measure plunged –1.35 million b/d the prior week, which was the largest since the initial COVID lockdowns,” wrote analysts at Sevens Report Research. “In aggregate, all of these data points continue to suggest high prices are resulting in demand destruction among consumers as inflation continues to pressure personal balance sheets.” Read: Why are gas prices going down? Drivers begin to see some relief at the pump Meanwhile, Libya’s National Oil Corporation said Wednesday that preparations were under way to export crude oil after the lifting of force majeure on terminals and oil fields. Overall, “oil traders have watched a plethora of negative factors: rising supplies from Libya and Russia, amidst continued lockdowns in China and potentially declining U.S. demand,” Manish Raj, chief financial officer at Velandera Energy Partners, told MarketWatch. “Conservative oil investors have watched this movie before in 2008, when staggering oil prices dampened oil demand and led to a crash in oil prices,” he said. “It is easier for traders to stay on the sidelines until the demand picture is clearer. “ Still, “all is not lost since there is a tussle between an incredibly tight physical market and a loose outlook from speculative traders,” said Raj. “History has shown that physical markets always win over speculative traders since that the only place oil changes hand.”Natural-gas futures at 5-week high Natural gas flows through a major pipeline from Russia to Europe resumed on Thursday after a 10-day shutdown for maintenance, the operator said. Uncertainty around whether Russia will maintain flows as Western European countries worry about gas shortages this coming winter remain, however. The European Commission on Wednesday …