New COVID-19 modeling report shows uncertainty for remainder of 2022 – Colorado COVID-19 Updates

by | Oct 10, 2022 | COVID-19

DENVER (October 10, 2022) — The Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment and Colorado School of Public Health released an updated statewide modeling report that presents varying scenarios for the state of COVID-19 in Colorado in the coming months. Model simulations show hospital demand through the end of 2022 may depend on the variants that dominate and continued statewide uptake of the new omicron vaccine.COVID-19 hospital demand increased last week, but hospitalizations remain relatively low in comparison with past peaks of COVID-19, about 10% of previous highs. Wastewater concentrations indicate a slow decline in infections statewide, and percent positivity has plateaued. However, there are areas of the state where wastewater data indicate an increase in infections, such as the North Central, South, and San Luis Valley regions.      Model simulations continue to indicate a decline in COVID-19 hospital demand over the next 12 weeks in the absence of a new variant. These projections account for current trends in the new omicron vaccine uptake and are consistent with model simulations by the COVID-19 Forecast Hub, a central repository of forecasts and predictions from more than 50 international research groups in coordination with CDC. At this time, 8.3% of eligible Coloradans have received an omicron dose, more than twice the national average, and Coloradans can increase their protection against COVID-19 and help protect their community by getting an omicron dose as soon as they are eligible. Coloradans can find omicron doses at providers across the state, including 10 community vaccination sites, local public hea …

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