The Ratings Game: Stop buying stocks of these home builders, analyst says, as rising mortgage rates ‘temper our enthusiasm’

by | Mar 6, 2023 | Stock Market

Shares of D.R. Horton Inc. and KB Home fell Monday after JPMorgan analyst Michael Rehaut backed away from his bullish ratings on the home builders, citing concerns that the recent rise in mortgage rates will hurt demand for housing. For KB Home
Rehaut went as far as swinging to bearish, saying the stock’s recent outperformance has made it expensive relative to its smaller-capitalization peers.

“Following a reasonably solid [fourth-quarter] earnings season (relative to expectations), while we remain positive on the home builders for 2023, at the same time, we believe fundamentals may go sideways if not soften somewhat over the next quarter or so as the housing market absorbs the past months’ roughly [7 percentage point] increase in mortgage rates,” Rehaut wrote in a note to clients. Don’t miss: ‘Affordability is hindered’: Mortgage rates rise for fourth week in a rose, briefly touching 7%. D.R. Horton’s stock
fell as much as 1.5% intraday before bouncing to be down 0.4% in morning trading, as the Texas-based builder, with a $31.7 billion market cap, was downgraded to neutral from overweight. Rehaut cut his stock-price target to $102.50 from $107. Rehaut said he believes the company’s premium valuation is “fairly reflecting its above-average fundamental profile,” so he expects the shares to perform more in line with peers. The stock has gained 10.1% over the past three months and advanced 8.2% over the past 12 months, while the iShares U.S. Home Construction exchange-traded fund
has rallied 15.3% over the past three months and edged up 3.2% the past year. In comparison, the S&P 500
has tacked on 3.3% in the past three months but slipped 5.8% over the past year. Shares of California-based KB Home
with a market cap of about $3 billion, shed 1% but had been down as much as 2.3% earlier after Rehaut’s double downgrade to underweight from buy. He cut his price target to …

Article Attribution | Read More at Article Source

Share This