From chatbots to superintelligence: Mapping AI’s ambitious journey

by | Jun 29, 2024 | Technology

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Is humanity on the brink of creating its intellectual superior? Some think we are on the cusp of such a development. Last week, Ilya Sutskever unveiled his new startup, Safe Superintelligence, Inc. (SSI), which is dedicated to building advanced artificial superintelligence (ASI) models — a hypothetical AI far beyond human capability. In a statement about launching SSI, he said “superintelligence is within reach,” and added: “We approach safety and capabilities in tandem.”

Sutskever has the credentials to aspire to such an advanced model. He was a founding member of OpenAI and formerly served as the company’s chief scientist. Before that, he worked with Geoffrey Hinton and Alex Krizhevsky at the University of Toronto to develop “AlexNet,” an image classification model that transformed deep learning in 2012. More than any other, this development kicked-off the surge in AI over the last decade, in part by demonstrating the value of parallel instruction processing by graphics processing units (GPUs) to speed deep learning algorithm performance.

Sutskever is not alone in his belief about superintelligence. SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son said late last week that AI “10,000 times smarter than humans will be here in 10 years.” He added that achieving ASI is now his life mission.

AGI within 5 years?

Superintelligence goes way beyond artificial general intelligence (AGI), also still a hypothetical AI technology. AGI would surpass human capabilities in most economically valuable tasks. Hinton believes we could see AGI within five years. Ray Kurzweil, lead researcher and AI visionary at Google, defines AGI as “AI that can perform any cognitive task an educated human can.” He believes this will occur by 2029. Although in truth, there is no commonly accepted definition of AGI, which makes it impossible to accurately predict its arrival. How would we know?

Countdown to VB Tra …

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Don’t miss OpenAI, Chevron, Nvidia, Kaiser Permanente, and Capital One leaders only at VentureBeat Transform 2024. Gain essential insights about GenAI and expand your network at this exclusive three day event. Learn More

Is humanity on the brink of creating its intellectual superior? Some think we are on the cusp of such a development. Last week, Ilya Sutskever unveiled his new startup, Safe Superintelligence, Inc. (SSI), which is dedicated to building advanced artificial superintelligence (ASI) models — a hypothetical AI far beyond human capability. In a statement about launching SSI, he said “superintelligence is within reach,” and added: “We approach safety and capabilities in tandem.”

Sutskever has the credentials to aspire to such an advanced model. He was a founding member of OpenAI and formerly served as the company’s chief scientist. Before that, he worked with Geoffrey Hinton and Alex Krizhevsky at the University of Toronto to develop “AlexNet,” an image classification model that transformed deep learning in 2012. More than any other, this development kicked-off the surge in AI over the last decade, in part by demonstrating the value of parallel instruction processing by graphics processing units (GPUs) to speed deep learning algorithm performance.

Sutskever is not alone in his belief about superintelligence. SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son said late last week that AI “10,000 times smarter than humans will be here in 10 years.” He added that achieving ASI is now his life mission.

AGI within 5 years?

Superintelligence goes way beyond artificial general intelligence (AGI), also still a hypothetical AI technology. AGI would surpass human capabilities in most economically valuable tasks. Hinton believes we could see AGI within five years. Ray Kurzweil, lead researcher and AI visionary at Google, defines AGI as “AI that can perform any cognitive task an educated human can.” He believes this will occur by 2029. Although in truth, there is no commonly accepted definition of AGI, which makes it impossible to accurately predict its arrival. How would we know?

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