How much will a presidential election reveal about Iran’s future?

by | Jun 7, 2024 | World

Iran’s recent history is a rollercoaster of contrasts, alternating between hope and despair, traditions and modernisation, revolutions and counterrevolutions, conservatism and reformism.The country is once again on the verge of an historic moment as it prepares for a June 28 snap presidential election, following the death of President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash last month.
This election, forced upon the state, will likely reveal the Iranian establishment’s future plans for the country.
Is the political establishment willing to ease internal social and political tensions and open up to the world, or will it prefer to maintain the growing schism between the Iranian populace and the state at home, while continuing confrontational policies abroad?
If it chooses the former, then we may see a period that focuses on governance and normalisation after what has been a divisive few years inside Iran. However, if the latter occurs, then the legitimacy crisis Iran has experienced will linger on, fuelled by unresolved domestic grievances, and forcing the state to continue to focus on managing crises.
The president who emerges from this electoral process will provide a partial answer as to what the outcome will be.

Beyond the supreme leader
The Iranian political structure, based since the 1979 Islamic Revolution on the concept of Velayet-e Motlaqaye Faqih – the absolute guardianship of the Islamic jurist – is one of the most multi-layered systems in the world.
In this system, the Vali-e Faqih, or the guardian of Islamic jurist …

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[mwai_chat context=”Let’s have a discussion about this article:nnIran’s recent history is a rollercoaster of contrasts, alternating between hope and despair, traditions and modernisation, revolutions and counterrevolutions, conservatism and reformism.The country is once again on the verge of an historic moment as it prepares for a June 28 snap presidential election, following the death of President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash last month.
This election, forced upon the state, will likely reveal the Iranian establishment’s future plans for the country.
Is the political establishment willing to ease internal social and political tensions and open up to the world, or will it prefer to maintain the growing schism between the Iranian populace and the state at home, while continuing confrontational policies abroad?
If it chooses the former, then we may see a period that focuses on governance and normalisation after what has been a divisive few years inside Iran. However, if the latter occurs, then the legitimacy crisis Iran has experienced will linger on, fuelled by unresolved domestic grievances, and forcing the state to continue to focus on managing crises.
The president who emerges from this electoral process will provide a partial answer as to what the outcome will be.

Beyond the supreme leader
The Iranian political structure, based since the 1979 Islamic Revolution on the concept of Velayet-e Motlaqaye Faqih – the absolute guardianship of the Islamic jurist – is one of the most multi-layered systems in the world.
In this system, the Vali-e Faqih, or the guardian of Islamic jurist …nnDiscussion:nn” ai_name=”RocketNews AI: ” start_sentence=”Can I tell you more about this article?” text_input_placeholder=”Type ‘Yes'”]

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