: Allstate warns of surprise loss, even as auto insurance rates jumped 16% in some locations last month

by | Oct 21, 2022 | Stock Market

Shares of Allstate Corp.
tumbled Thursday, enough to pace the S&P 500 index’s losers by a wide margin, after the insurer warned of a surprise third-quarter loss, amid weakness in its personal auto business. The company said late Wednesday that it expected a net loss of between $675 million and $725 million, and losses excluding nonrecurring items of between $400 million and $450 million. That compared with a the FactSet consensus of adjusted net income as of the end of September of $256.4 million.

The expected losses come even as Allstate said it continued to implement “significant auto insurance rate actions” in the second half of 2022 in response to inflationary increases to loss costs. Actions taken include increases of 16.2% in Allstate brand auto insurance rates across eight locations in September, and a 4.4% increase in National General rates across 11 locations. Total Allstate brand auto insurance rates rose 0.9% in September, after rising 3.2% in August and a 1.0% increase in July. Also read: Allstate plans ‘significant’ price increases for car insurance in the second half in response to inflationary pressures. The stock tumbled 11.4% in midday trading, putting it on track for the biggest one-day decline since it sank 14.1% on March 18, 2020. It was by far the worst performer in the S&P 500
as the index’s next biggest decliner was Equifax Inc.’s stock
which shed 5.5%. Allstate said the third-quarter combined ratio, which compares underwriting expenses and net loss reserves to premiums earned, for Allstate Protection — auto insurance was 117.4%. A ratio of above 100% means the business is losing money, outflows exceeded inflows. Excluding certain items, the underlying combined ratio for auto insurance was 104%, compared with 74.6% for Allstate Protection — homeowners insur …

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