Beware of ‘pricey’ U.S. stocks as inflation may ‘roller-coaster back up,’ warns BlackRock

by | Jan 16, 2024 | Stock Market

U.S. stocks appear on course for “another year of flip-flopping market narratives” as falling inflation may “roller-coaster back up” and rattle investor expectations for a “soft landing,” according to BlackRock.  “Market jitters in early January suggest there is some anxiety about macro risks further out,”  said BlackRock Investment Institute strategists in a note Tuesday. “We stay selective as we expect resurgent inflation to come into view.” 

The strategists also pointed to “pricey valuations” in the U.S. stock market. Markets have favored a small group of seven megacap stocks “for their ability to leverage artificial intelligence,” they said. Those stocks’ price-to-earnings ratios for the next 12 months are “about a third higher than for the S&P 500 and when excluding them,” a chart in their note shows.

BLACKROCK INVESTMENT INSTITUTE NOTE DATED JAN. 16, 2024

Price-to-earnings ratios, which “divide a company’s share price by its earnings per share,” fell in the second half of 2023 as stronger earnings expectations supported the megacap rally, the BlackRock strategists said. The so-called Magnificent Seven, as those market-leading megacap tech stocks are known, skyrocketed last year, fueling the S&P 500 index’s 24% surge. “Even after the market-wide rally in December, market concentration in a handful of megacaps — firms with ultra-large market capitalizations — remains high,” the strategists said. The seven companies with massive market values — Apple Inc …

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[mwai_chat context=”Let’s have a discussion about this article:nnU.S. stocks appear on course for “another year of flip-flopping market narratives” as falling inflation may “roller-coaster back up” and rattle investor expectations for a “soft landing,” according to BlackRock.  “Market jitters in early January suggest there is some anxiety about macro risks further out,”  said BlackRock Investment Institute strategists in a note Tuesday. “We stay selective as we expect resurgent inflation to come into view.” 

The strategists also pointed to “pricey valuations” in the U.S. stock market. Markets have favored a small group of seven megacap stocks “for their ability to leverage artificial intelligence,” they said. Those stocks’ price-to-earnings ratios for the next 12 months are “about a third higher than for the S&P 500 and when excluding them,” a chart in their note shows.

BLACKROCK INVESTMENT INSTITUTE NOTE DATED JAN. 16, 2024

Price-to-earnings ratios, which “divide a company’s share price by its earnings per share,” fell in the second half of 2023 as stronger earnings expectations supported the megacap rally, the BlackRock strategists said. The so-called Magnificent Seven, as those market-leading megacap tech stocks are known, skyrocketed last year, fueling the S&P 500 index’s 24% surge. “Even after the market-wide rally in December, market concentration in a handful of megacaps — firms with ultra-large market capitalizations — remains high,” the strategists said. The seven companies with massive market values — Apple Inc …nnDiscussion:nn” ai_name=”RocketNews AI: ” start_sentence=”Can I tell you more about this article?” text_input_placeholder=”Type ‘Yes'”]

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