The stock market right now resembles the Y2K surge — and that didn’t end well

by | Feb 9, 2024 | Stock Market

Early Friday stock-index futures trading indicate the S&P 500 will start the session several points above the 5,000 mark. Breaching — and closing above — big round numbers in equity indices inevitably encourages optimists to hope that what was considered resistance can become support.

It can also produce reflections on how the past may give a clue to what comes next. Julian Emanuel, strategist at Evercore ISI, sees a similarity between the Y2K stock market surge of the late 1990’s and today’s market, though he acknowledges the standard caveat: history seldom repeats but often rhymes. “The unrelenting momentum that has carried the S&P 500 to the round number of 5,000 has few equals in history, the standout example being the internet fueled rally off a similar market bottom in October 1998 versus the pivotal October 2022 low,” says Emanuel in a note sent to clients this week. To recall, the Y2K phenomenon occurred during the nascent dot-com boom, when some technology stocks got extra propulsion from expectations companies would spend gazillions ensuring their computer systems could switch to 2000 when the new millennium began. Do we have a similar frenzy regarding AI? Here’s Emanuel’s …

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[mwai_chat context=”Let’s have a discussion about this article:nnEarly Friday stock-index futures trading indicate the S&P 500 will start the session several points above the 5,000 mark. Breaching — and closing above — big round numbers in equity indices inevitably encourages optimists to hope that what was considered resistance can become support.

It can also produce reflections on how the past may give a clue to what comes next. Julian Emanuel, strategist at Evercore ISI, sees a similarity between the Y2K stock market surge of the late 1990’s and today’s market, though he acknowledges the standard caveat: history seldom repeats but often rhymes. “The unrelenting momentum that has carried the S&P 500 to the round number of 5,000 has few equals in history, the standout example being the internet fueled rally off a similar market bottom in October 1998 versus the pivotal October 2022 low,” says Emanuel in a note sent to clients this week. To recall, the Y2K phenomenon occurred during the nascent dot-com boom, when some technology stocks got extra propulsion from expectations companies would spend gazillions ensuring their computer systems could switch to 2000 when the new millennium began. Do we have a similar frenzy regarding AI? Here’s Emanuel’s …nnDiscussion:nn” ai_name=”RocketNews AI: ” start_sentence=”Can I tell you more about this article?” text_input_placeholder=”Type ‘Yes'”]

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